Koerner’s Best NFL Props For Sunday

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Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite prop(s) for every slate throughout the 2020 season — he’s 77-57 (57.5%) so far and has a 287-213-5 (57.4%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app. Find his prop bets for Sunday’s main Week 11 slate below.NFL Prop Picks & Bets

Browns QB Baker Mayfield Under 9.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Rushing props for a pocket passer like Baker can always be deceiving.
Mayfield has gone under this number in seven of nine games. Sure, he will have games like Week 8, where he ran for 29 yards, but he won’t clear double digits most of the time.

Bet to 8.5 at PointsBet

Browns TE Austin Hooper Over 2.5 Receptions (-129) 
Hooper only went 1/11/0 in his return but ran a route on 82% of dropbacks. A lot of that was due to the high winds last week, but we should expect much higher production going forward with that amount of playing time.
I would set this as a coin flip at 3.5. Getting over 2.5 here would be worth about -200 juice, and I would bet this up to -160.

Bet to -160 at BetMGM

Eagles WR Greg Ward Under 33.5 Rec Yards (-130)

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